Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

NASDAQ · Financials · market cap 11.14B

Share price

$273.93

At the last nightly close

Intrinsic value

$214.23

A single conservative estimate.

Margin of safety

-21.8%

($214.23 − $273.93) ÷ $273.93

EV / EBIT

n/a

Not ranked: financial sector.

How these numbers are computed

The valuations are calculated in Python from filed accounts, not written by a language model. Three methods run side by side: earnings power value, which capitalises a normalised operating profit; a free-cash-flow model; and the Graham Number as an asset-side cross-check. The conservative figure above starts from the lower of the first two; the Graham Number never enters it.

The frame gives no credit for growth unless the company has earned it: only a return on invested capital that has beaten the cost of capital year after year earns a growth credit, and that credit is capped. A company that compounds will therefore usually read as expensive against it — that is deliberate. It is a price-discipline floor, not a price target, and it is not a view on what the shares will do.

The EV/EBIT ranking uses the median operating profit of up to fifteen fiscal years — a full cycle — where the free screeners use the last twelve months. When the data cannot support a method, the figure reads n/a rather than a number: a free-cash-flow valuation on a bank, a PEG on erratic earnings, a multiple on a company with no operating profit to speak of.

Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Prices, market data and technicals from yfinance. Valuation computed 2026-08-29.

Key metrics

Price / earnings24.9
Price / book5.6
EV / EBITDA16.0
FCF / EVn/a
Return on equity+23.7%
Return on assets+13.5%
Debt / equity0.02
Gross margin+17.9%

Market position

52-week high$292.87
52-week low$204.70
From 52-week high-6.5%
RSI (14)72.9
200-day moving average$244.89

Annual financials

PeriodRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025-FY4.15Bn/a559.3M12.01571.0M
2024-FY3.86B757.3M600.3M12.89486.4M
2023-FY3.31B561.9M446.1M9.58288.6M
2022-FY2.85B378.5M298.6M6.41298.9M
2021-FY2.63B318.1M297.9Mn/a254.0M

Filed figures from SEC EDGAR, in the reporting currency.

Next earnings

Q1 2027 expectedFebruary 22, 2027
Consensus EPS estimate2.95

Recent news

The figures above are the arithmetic. To see what a board of eight AI agents makes of them — macro, sector, filings, news and a devil's advocate whose only job is to attack the thesis — run the full analysis on ERIE.

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This page presents computed figures and filed financial data for information only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and not a statement about what these shares will do. Sperio is a research tool, not an investment adviser. Figures are derived automatically from public filings and market data and may be incomplete, out of date or wrong. See the Terms & Disclaimer.