CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)
NYSE · Materials · market cap 17.26B
Share price
$133.82
At the last nightly close
Intrinsic value
$291.05
Range $291.05 – $307.75 — the conservative figure is the low end.
Margin of safety
+117.5%
($291.05 − $133.82) ÷ $133.82
EV / EBIT
13.7
On the median operating profit of 9 fiscal years through 2025.
How these numbers are computed
The valuations are calculated in Python from filed accounts, not written by a language model. Three methods run side by side: earnings power value, which capitalises a normalised operating profit; a free-cash-flow model; and the Graham Number as an asset-side cross-check. The conservative figure above is the low end of what they agree on.
The frame gives no credit for growth. A company that compounds will therefore read as expensive against it — that is deliberate. It is a price-discipline floor, not a price target, and it is not a view on what the shares will do.
The EV/EBIT ranking uses the median operating profit of up to fifteen fiscal years — a full cycle — where the free screeners use the last twelve months. When the data cannot support a method, the figure reads n/a rather than a number: a free-cash-flow valuation on a bank, a PEG on erratic earnings, a multiple on a company with no operating profit to speak of.
Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Prices, market data and technicals from yfinance. Valuation computed 2026-09-03.
Key metrics
Market position
Annual financials
| Period | Revenue | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-FY | 7.08B | 2.38B | 1.46B | 8.98 | 1.80B |
| 2024-FY | 5.94B | 1.71B | 1.22B | 6.75 | 1.75B |
| 2023-FY | 6.63B | 2.25B | 1.52B | 7.89 | 1.03B |
| 2022-FY | 11.19B | 5.57B | 3.35B | 16.45 | 3.39B |
| 2021-FY | 6.54B | 1.73B | 1.26B | 4.24 | 2.36B |
Filed figures from SEC EDGAR, in the reporting currency.
Next earnings
Recent news
- Perplexityperplexity.ai
- CF Industries Holdings (NYSE:CF) - Stock Analysissimplywall.st
- CF Earnings: Latest Report, Earnings Call & Financialspublic.com
- CF Stock Price Quote | Morningstarmorningstar.com
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
Headlines link to their source. Sperio does not republish article text.
The figures above are the arithmetic. To see what a board of eight AI agents makes of them — macro, sector, filings, news and a devil's advocate whose only job is to attack the thesis — run the full analysis on CF.
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This page presents computed figures and filed financial data for information only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and not a statement about what these shares will do. Sperio is a research tool, not an investment adviser. Figures are derived automatically from public filings and market data and may be incomplete, out of date or wrong. See the Terms & Disclaimer.