The Mosaic Company (MOS)
NYSE · Materials · market cap 7.60B
Share price
$19.02
At the last nightly close
Intrinsic value
$107.04
A single conservative estimate.
Margin of safety
+462.8%
($107.04 − $19.02) ÷ $19.02
EV / EBIT
8.7
On the median operating profit of 15 fiscal years through 2025.
How these numbers are computed
The valuations are calculated in Python from filed accounts, not written by a language model. Three methods run side by side: earnings power value, which capitalises a normalised operating profit; a free-cash-flow model; and the Graham Number as an asset-side cross-check. The conservative figure above starts from the lower of the first two; the Graham Number never enters it.
The frame gives no credit for growth unless the company has earned it: only a return on invested capital that has beaten the cost of capital year after year earns a growth credit, and that credit is capped. A company that compounds will therefore usually read as expensive against it — that is deliberate. It is a price-discipline floor, not a price target, and it is not a view on what the shares will do.
The EV/EBIT ranking uses the median operating profit of up to fifteen fiscal years — a full cycle — where the free screeners use the last twelve months. When the data cannot support a method, the figure reads n/a rather than a number: a free-cash-flow valuation on a bank, a PEG on erratic earnings, a multiple on a company with no operating profit to speak of.
Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Prices, market data and technicals from yfinance. Valuation computed 2026-10-20.
Key metrics
Market position
Annual financials
| Period | Revenue | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-FY | 12.05B | 1.08B | 540.7M | 1.70 | -534.6M |
| 2024-FY | 11.12B | 621.5M | 174.9M | 0.55 | 47.4M |
| 2023-FY | 13.70B | 1.28B | 1.16B | 3.52 | 1.00B |
| 2022-FY | 19.13B | 4.79B | 3.58B | 10.57 | 2.69B |
| 2021-FY | 12.36B | 2.47B | 1.63B | 4.27 | 898.4M |
Filed figures from SEC EDGAR, in the reporting currency.
Next earnings
Recent news
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Headlines link to their source. Sperio does not republish article text.
The figures above are the arithmetic. To see what a board of eight AI agents makes of them — macro, sector, filings, news and a devil's advocate whose only job is to attack the thesis — run the full analysis on MOS.
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This page presents computed figures and filed financial data for information only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and not a statement about what these shares will do. Sperio is a research tool, not an investment adviser. Figures are derived automatically from public filings and market data and may be incomplete, out of date or wrong. See the Terms & Disclaimer.