The Mosaic Company (MOS)

NYSE · Materials · market cap 7.60B

Share price

$25.39

At the last nightly close

Intrinsic value

$107.04

A single conservative estimate.

Margin of safety

+321.6%

($107.04 − $25.39) ÷ $25.39

EV / EBIT

10.2

On the median operating profit of 15 fiscal years through 2025.

How these numbers are computed

The valuations are calculated in Python from filed accounts, not written by a language model. Three methods run side by side: earnings power value, which capitalises a normalised operating profit; a free-cash-flow model; and the Graham Number as an asset-side cross-check. The conservative figure above is the low end of what they agree on.

The frame gives no credit for growth. A company that compounds will therefore read as expensive against it — that is deliberate. It is a price-discipline floor, not a price target, and it is not a view on what the shares will do.

The EV/EBIT ranking uses the median operating profit of up to fifteen fiscal years — a full cycle — where the free screeners use the last twelve months. When the data cannot support a method, the figure reads n/a rather than a number: a free-cash-flow valuation on a bank, a PEG on erratic earnings, a multiple on a company with no operating profit to speak of.

Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Prices, market data and technicals from yfinance. Valuation computed 2026-09-03.

Key metrics

Price / earningsn/a
Price / book0.7
EV / EBITDA8.1
FCF / EV+3.5%
Return on equity-5.1%
Return on assets+1.2%
Debt / equity0.52
Gross margin+11.2%

Market position

52-week high$34.66
52-week low$19.65
From 52-week high-26.7%
RSI (14)58.6
200-day moving average$24.61

Annual financials

PeriodRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025-FY12.05B1.08B540.7M1.70-534.6M
2024-FY11.12B621.5M174.9M0.5547.4M
2023-FY13.70B1.28B1.16B3.521.00B
2022-FY19.13B4.79B3.58B10.572.69B
2021-FY12.36B2.47B1.63B4.27898.4M

Filed figures from SEC EDGAR, in the reporting currency.

Next earnings

Q4 2026 expectedNovember 3, 2026
Consensus EPS estimate0.05

Recent news

The figures above are the arithmetic. To see what a board of eight AI agents makes of them — macro, sector, filings, news and a devil's advocate whose only job is to attack the thesis — run the full analysis on MOS.

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This page presents computed figures and filed financial data for information only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and not a statement about what these shares will do. Sperio is a research tool, not an investment adviser. Figures are derived automatically from public filings and market data and may be incomplete, out of date or wrong. See the Terms & Disclaimer.