Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

NYSE · Materials · market cap 19.50B

Share price

$235.57

At the last nightly close

Intrinsic value

$182.89

Range $147.49 – $179.96 before any credit for growth. The figure above credits what the franchise record earns, which is why it sits outside that range.

Margin of safety

-22.4%

($182.89 − $235.57) ÷ $235.57

EV / EBIT

26.8

On the median operating profit of 15 fiscal years through 2025.

How these numbers are computed

The valuations are calculated in Python from filed accounts, not written by a language model. Three methods run side by side: earnings power value, which capitalises a normalised operating profit; a free-cash-flow model; and the Graham Number as an asset-side cross-check. The conservative figure above is the low end of what they agree on.

The frame gives no credit for growth. A company that compounds will therefore read as expensive against it — that is deliberate. It is a price-discipline floor, not a price target, and it is not a view on what the shares will do.

The EV/EBIT ranking uses the median operating profit of up to fifteen fiscal years — a full cycle — where the free screeners use the last twelve months. When the data cannot support a method, the figure reads n/a rather than a number: a free-cash-flow valuation on a bank, a PEG on erratic earnings, a multiple on a company with no operating profit to speak of.

Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Prices, market data and technicals from yfinance. Valuation computed 2026-09-03.

Key metrics

Price / earnings30.6
Price / book4.5
EV / EBITDA12.2
FCF / EV+2.1%
Return on equity+14.9%
Return on assets+8.3%
Debt / equity0.94
Gross margin+21.4%

Market position

52-week high$255.77
52-week low$186.94
From 52-week high-7.9%
RSI (14)48.0
200-day moving average$224.92

Annual financials

PeriodRevenueOperating incomeNet incomeEPSFree cash flow
2025-FY8.99B1.26B774.1M8.61728.6M
2024-FY8.38B1.17B805.1M8.97521.5M
2023-FY7.80B1.12B765.2M8.52845.4M
2022-FY8.48B1.48B1.03B11.08670.8M
2021-FY7.73B1.24B841.1M8.83489.0M

Filed figures from SEC EDGAR, in the reporting currency.

Next earnings

Q4 2026 expectedOctober 21, 2026
Consensus EPS estimate2.91

Recent news

The figures above are the arithmetic. To see what a board of eight AI agents makes of them — macro, sector, filings, news and a devil's advocate whose only job is to attack the thesis — run the full analysis on PKG.

Run the board on PKG

10 free analyses · no signup, no card

This page presents computed figures and filed financial data for information only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and not a statement about what these shares will do. Sperio is a research tool, not an investment adviser. Figures are derived automatically from public filings and market data and may be incomplete, out of date or wrong. See the Terms & Disclaimer.