Vistra Corp. (VST)
NYSE · Utilities · market cap 54.03B
Share price
$143.56
At the last nightly close
Intrinsic value
$58.15
A single conservative estimate.
Margin of safety
-59.5%
($58.15 − $143.56) ÷ $143.56
EV / EBIT
44.6
On the median operating profit of 9 fiscal years through 2025.
How these numbers are computed
The valuations are calculated in Python from filed accounts, not written by a language model. Three methods run side by side: earnings power value, which capitalises a normalised operating profit; a free-cash-flow model; and the Graham Number as an asset-side cross-check. The conservative figure above is the low end of what they agree on.
The frame gives no credit for growth. A company that compounds will therefore read as expensive against it — that is deliberate. It is a price-discipline floor, not a price target, and it is not a view on what the shares will do.
The EV/EBIT ranking uses the median operating profit of up to fifteen fiscal years — a full cycle — where the free screeners use the last twelve months. When the data cannot support a method, the figure reads n/a rather than a number: a free-cash-flow valuation on a bank, a PEG on erratic earnings, a multiple on a company with no operating profit to speak of.
Fundamentals from SEC EDGAR. Prices, market data and technicals from yfinance. Valuation computed 2026-09-03.
Key metrics
Market position
Annual financials
| Period | Revenue | Operating income | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-FY | 17.74B | 2.13B | 944.0M | 2.22 | 1.32B |
| 2024-FY | 17.22B | 4.08B | 2.66B | 7.26 | 2.48B |
| 2023-FY | 14.78B | 2.71B | 1.49B | 3.82 | 3.78B |
| 2022-FY | 13.73B | -1.10B | -1.23B | -3.15 | -816.0M |
| 2021-FY | 12.08B | -1.51B | -1.27B | -2.69 | -1.24B |
Filed figures from SEC EDGAR, in the reporting currency.
Next earnings
Recent news
- Vistra (VST) Stock Wrestles With AI Promise And Softer Power Outlook - Simply Wall St Newssimplywall.st
- VST Stock: Valuation and Other Factors That Could Move Sharesqz.com
- Vistra Stock Jumped 14% on Q1 Results. Here’s the Path to $231 by 2027tikr.com
- Vistra slides as AI-power names weaken and no fresh company catalyst emerges | Quiver Quantitativequiverquant.com
- News Releases - Vistra Corp. Investor Relationsinvestor.vistracorp.com
Headlines link to their source. Sperio does not republish article text.
The figures above are the arithmetic. To see what a board of eight AI agents makes of them — macro, sector, filings, news and a devil's advocate whose only job is to attack the thesis — run the full analysis on VST.
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This page presents computed figures and filed financial data for information only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security, and not a statement about what these shares will do. Sperio is a research tool, not an investment adviser. Figures are derived automatically from public filings and market data and may be incomplete, out of date or wrong. See the Terms & Disclaimer.